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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) Earth Day predictions: 1970 (Read 3,168 times)
Ars Longa, Vita Bert
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Earth Day predictions: 1970
Apr 23rd, 2015 at 3:19am
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1. Harvard biologist George Wald estimated that “civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”

2. “We are in an environmental crisis which threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation,” wrote Washington University biologist Barry Commoner in the Earth Day issue of the scholarly journal Environment.

3. The day after the first Earth Day, the New York Times editorial page warned, “Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction.”

4. “Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make,” Paul Ehrlich confidently declared in the April 1970 Mademoiselle. “The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”

5. “Most of the people who are going to die in the greatest cataclysm in the history of man have already been born,” wrote Paul Ehrlich in a 1969 essay titled “Eco-Catastrophe! “By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”

6. Ehrlich sketched out his most alarmist scenario for the 1970 Earth Day issue of The Progressive, assuring readers that between 1980 and 1989, some 4 billion people, including 65 million Americans, would perish in the “Great Die-Off.”

7. “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,” declared Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for Earth Day, in the Spring 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness.

8. Peter Gunter, a North Texas State University professor, wrote in 1970, “Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”

9. In January 1970, Life reported, “Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”

10. Ecologist Kenneth Watt told Time that, “At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”

11. Barry Commoner predicted that decaying organic pollutants would use up all of the oxygen in America’s rivers, causing freshwater fish to suffocate.

12. Paul Ehrlich chimed in, predicting in his 1970 that “air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.” Ehrlich sketched a scenario in which 200,000 Americans would die in 1973 during “smog disasters” in New York and Los Angeles.

13. Paul Ehrlich warned in the May 1970 issue of Audubon that DDT and other chlorinated hydrocarbons “may have substantially reduced the life expectancy of people born since 1945.” Ehrlich warned that Americans born since 1946…now had a life expectancy of only 49 years, and he predicted that if current patterns continued this expectancy would reach 42 years by 1980, when it might level out.

14. Ecologist Kenneth Watt declared, “By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.'”

15. Harrison Brown, a scientist at the National Academy of Sciences, published a chart in Scientific American that looked at metal reserves and estimated the humanity would totally run out of copper shortly after 2000. Lead, zinc, tin, gold, and silver would be gone before 1990.

16. Sen. Gaylord Nelson wrote in Look that, “Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”

17. In 1975, Paul Ehrlich predicted that “since more than nine-tenths of the original tropical rainforests will be removed in most areas within the next 30 years or so, it is expected that half of the organisms in these areas will vanish with it.”

18. Kenneth Watt warned about a pending Ice Age in a speech. “The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years,” he declared. “If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”

https://www.aei.org/publication/18-spectacularly-wrong-apocalyptic-predictions-m...

The world is still going to end on Tuesday because of global warming climate change weather...
  

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Limey.
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Re: Earth Day predictions: 1970
Reply #1 - Apr 23rd, 2015 at 8:02am
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Wednesday, not Tuesday, and because of an asteroid, or gay weddings, or maybe Iran or some African guy with a bad head-cold.














... 'beans on toast'??? You having a homesick phase?

I had cod, chips, peas and three pints of IPA for my dinner yesterday by the way - looking out on the sea at Saltburn.

Lovely.
  

Under Capitalism, Man exploits Man.

Under Communism, it's the exact opposite.
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Fıddler
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Re: Earth Day predictions: 1970
Reply #2 - Apr 23rd, 2015 at 8:26am
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Limey. wrote on Apr 23rd, 2015 at 8:02am:
Wednesday, not Tuesday, and because of an asteroid, or gay weddings, or maybe Iran or some African guy with a bad head-cold.


It must be Wednesday.  Bert's hysterectomy is scheduled for Tuesday.


  
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Possibly Logical
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Re: Earth Day predictions: 1970
Reply #3 - Apr 23rd, 2015 at 8:52am
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Ars Longa, Vita Bert wrote on Apr 23rd, 2015 at 3:19am:
1. Harvard biologist George Wald estimated that “civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”

...

The world is still going to end on Tuesday because of global warming climate change weather...


If the pollution analogy is correct, then we should be taking action against greenhouse gas emissions...
  
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Rabbit_Reborn
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Re: Earth Day predictions: 1970
Reply #4 - Apr 23rd, 2015 at 9:08am
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Those were just jokes.

Now it's absolutely urgent that we act, or we're all definitely going to die in a massive fireball eruption of warming destruction.
  

Wadsworth wrote on Jun 11th, 2018 at 3:40pm:
You are awfully concerned about who gets to live.  Why is it so important to you?
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petep
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Re: Earth Day predictions: 1970
Reply #5 - Apr 23rd, 2015 at 9:36am
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in the 1970's I recall being taught in school that it was global cooling that would do us in...the theory was carbon emissions would form a layer and keep the sun out...they had all sorts of models to "prove" the scientific theory...
  
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Re: Earth Day predictions: 1970
Reply #6 - Apr 23rd, 2015 at 10:03am
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petep wrote on Apr 23rd, 2015 at 9:36am:
in the 1970's I recall being taught in school that it was global cooling that would do us in...the theory was carbon emissions would form a layer and keep the sun out...they had all sorts of models to "prove" the scientific theory...

You were probably the only one on earth that was taught that.
  

Jasmine wrote on May 6th, 2018 at 7:43pm:
Yes, I heard about this. Just goes to show McLame’s true loyalties. Hopefully, Trump won’t go to his funeral very, very soon.


TowardLiberty wrote on Mar 29th, 2018 at 8:34pm:
I'll try but it might be beyond my ability. Insulting is "like 90% of what I do here."
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Fıddler
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Re: Earth Day predictions: 1970
Reply #7 - Apr 23rd, 2015 at 10:05am
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petep wrote on Apr 23rd, 2015 at 9:36am:
in the 1970's I recall being taught in school that it was global cooling that would do us in...the theory was carbon emissions would form a layer and keep the sun out...they had all sorts of models to "prove" the scientific theory...


Seems you were taught to lie as well..


  
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petep
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Re: Earth Day predictions: 1970
Reply #8 - Apr 23rd, 2015 at 10:32am
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you guys/girls crack me up...the fact is much of this is theory and the predictions are always changing based on new evidence and/or politics. We know for a fact there have been 13 ice ages before the first man stepped on earth. Other than being able state it is cyclical, we only have theories as to why the cooling and subsequent warming took place.

It is a fact many scientists in the 1970's believed that the effect of emissions would be cooling. That's not hard to google. The people that claim its a lie, say so out of ignorance or embarrassment that the same "entities" of scientists have now reversed their theory 180 degrees...the "science" gets harder to believe...

What makes the entire thing suspect, is these entities rank man made emissions 3rd on their list...and the "solutions" only seem to target industrial related emissions, and the US seems to be the only one that must adhere to the rules.

and there is no plan to target the top 2 causes identified by the UN commission - cattle related and compositing...because this simply is a behavioral or practice change and does nothing to hogtie the US economically.

If the commission came out with a plan to say lets target the top two first...and advocated changes in compositing and farming practices as an example, it would be much more believable...
  
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Fıddler
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Re: Earth Day predictions: 1970
Reply #9 - Apr 23rd, 2015 at 1:05pm
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petep wrote on Apr 23rd, 2015 at 10:32am:
It is a fact many scientists in the 1970's believed that the effect of emissions would be cooling. That's not hard to google. 



Other things "not hard to google" are numerous articles debunking the idiocy of a "global cooling" consensus..


1970s ice age predictions were predominantly media based. The majority of peer reviewed research at the time predicted warming due to increasing CO2.


THE MYTH OF THE 1970S GLOBAL COOLING SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS - American Meteorological Society

But Hey.. if we're lucky maybe Bert will repost his fake Time Magazine Global Cooling cover   Grin

  
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