Liberty News Forum
Political News Forum - Let your opinions be heard on current news and politics. Not for wimps!
Political Opinion Page - Recent Posts - LNF Forums LNF in the Age of Empowerment!
Christian Forum - Religion Forum - Entertainment - Sports Forum
Military - A1 News Page - Computers Tech - Financial News - Bunker - Presidential Tracking Poll
The House - Off the Wall News - Page 2 - Rasmussen Reports Polls - Chat Room
Liberty News ForumLNF Forums HereThe House › Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data
Page Index Toggle Pages: 1 Send TopicPrint
Normal Topic Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data (Read 611 times)
Abe
Ex Member


Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data
Oct 16th, 2016 at 9:29am
Print Post  
The bottom line is that polls on the fringes (e.g., the LAT and to a lesser degree only the trends in the conservative-advocating Rasmussen both showing Mr. Trump leading for much of the past month) should be taken a little more seriously due to the informative value they provide in how the many undecideds and non-responders will ultimately vote.


Another note is that you should be wary of taking too seriously the political advice of people who so recently badly errored in the Primary elections!  This is not to cast a spotlight on any one individual, since the entire field of data journalism just saw a catastrophic result over the past year.  But it's clear from the polling and the prediction betting market levels that the grave lessons from the past have not yet been learned.  This summer's Brexit vote was just another example of election-eve overconfidence by pollsters and bookies.  But stateside we do see the promotion of false confidence on preposterous polling statistics.  The media ratings pursuit must inherent some blame, since news demands easily digestible insight that crookedly beguiles their patrons.  And if we expose the overshadowing uncertainty surrounding these election predictions, then no one would venture into paying further attention.  Even more reason for you to pay some attention to the outlier polls, especially this year!

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-15/statisticians-warn-systemic-mainstream-...
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Josie
LNF Speaker
The Writer's Croft
LNF Bunker
*****
Offline

Rubio Republican

Posts: 16,921
Location: Virginia
Joined: Jul 30th, 2011
Gender: Female
Re: Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data
Reply #1 - Oct 17th, 2016 at 1:46pm
Print Post  
Why did you post this in the house?
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Rodney Your Teas Ready
Hardhat
LNF Bunker
*****
Offline

Never kiss a gibbon on
the mouth

Posts: 134,257
Location: Knepper On The Green
Joined: Oct 1st, 2005
Re: Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data
Reply #2 - Oct 18th, 2016 at 1:51am
Print Post  
Josie wrote on Oct 17th, 2016 at 1:46pm:
Why did you post this in the house?


Because the garage is full of stuff?
  

Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Abe
Ex Member


Re: Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data
Reply #3 - Oct 18th, 2016 at 8:55am
Print Post  
Josie wrote on Oct 17th, 2016 at 1:46pm:
Why did you post this in the house?



I didn't but it seems lately this forum is not working properly.  Posts go to back pages for no reason and replies don't seem to actually hit the thread even when it says they did at a certain time.

Example:  Billy replied to me at 8:38 on a thread.  That's what it says on the list threads page.  Go to the actual thread itself and there's nothing there.

?

  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Josie
LNF Speaker
The Writer's Croft
LNF Bunker
*****
Offline

Rubio Republican

Posts: 16,921
Location: Virginia
Joined: Jul 30th, 2011
Gender: Female
Re: Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data
Reply #4 - Oct 18th, 2016 at 10:52pm
Print Post  
Quote:
I didn't but it seems lately this forum is not working properly.  Posts go to back pages for no reason and replies don't seem to actually hit the thread even when it says they did at a certain time.

Example:  Billy replied to me at 8:38 on a thread.  That's what it says on the list threads page.  Go to the actual thread itself and there's nothing there.

?


Creepy

  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Josie
LNF Speaker
The Writer's Croft
LNF Bunker
*****
Offline

Rubio Republican

Posts: 16,921
Location: Virginia
Joined: Jul 30th, 2011
Gender: Female
Re: Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data
Reply #5 - Oct 18th, 2016 at 10:52pm
Print Post  
Rodney Your Teas Ready wrote on Oct 18th, 2016 at 1:51am:
Because the garage is full of stuff?

Tongue
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Abe
Ex Member


Re: Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data
Reply #6 - Oct 19th, 2016 at 8:45am
Print Post  
Josie wrote on Oct 18th, 2016 at 10:52pm:
Creepy




Or...intentional.  Wink
  
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Page Index Toggle Pages: 1
Send TopicPrint
 
Liberty News ForumLNF Forums HereThe House › Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data

LNF Home - Political Opinion Page
LNF Forums

Christian Forum - Religion Forum - Sports Forum - Entertainment - House
Military, History - Cooking and Crafts - Creative Writing
Off the Wall News - Science Forum - Tech Gadgets - Financial News - Humor
Bunker - Page 2 - Page 3 - Page 4 - Chat Room





Drudge Report - News Max - Rush Limbaugh - FrontpageMag
Advertise on the LNF - Twitter LNF - LNF Archive - LNF News
LNF Blog
News and Political Links
Political Blogs
Add your website or blog
Political Columnists
Political Humor
News forum posting, privacy policy and member rules