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Liberty News ForumLNF Forums HerePolitical Opinion Page - The Hot Seat › Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll (Read 455 times)
The Original Wally
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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #10 - Nov 14th, 2017 at 5:51pm
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EF wrote on Nov 14th, 2017 at 5:45pm:
I have heard more than one person in my state, and some of them are people I actually think are of above average intelligence, say they vote R.  Period.  That is the only thing that matters when they look at a ballot.  And they're proud of it.

I know many people in my home state (New York) who say exactly the same thing about why they vote the straight Democrat ticket.
  

" The few will always act like the few.

Machiavelli

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EF
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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #11 - Nov 14th, 2017 at 5:53pm
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The Original Wally wrote on Nov 14th, 2017 at 5:51pm:
I know many people in my home state (New York) who say exactly the same thing about why they vote the straight Democrat ticket.


I don't doubt it.  It's definitely on both sides of the political spectrum.
  

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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #12 - Nov 15th, 2017 at 1:52pm
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Demos wrote on Nov 14th, 2017 at 5:35pm:
And actually did win the popular vote (which is how Alabama's US Senator will be chosen).


Irrelevant, my post was a general statement concerning people's trust in polling.
Wouldn't be wise to place much trust in this poll.   
  
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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #13 - Nov 15th, 2017 at 3:12pm
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glen65 wrote on Nov 15th, 2017 at 1:52pm:
Irrelevant, my post was a general statement concerning people's trust in polling.
Wouldn't be wise to place much trust in this poll.

Wrong on both counts: it's not irrelevant and not unwise to put trust in this poll. Here's why: it's a nationwide poll of voters. And as it turned out, a pretty accurate reflection of the national popular vote.

What would be wrong is to assume that electoral college results are necessarily a reflection of the national popular vote or that those results mean people shouldn't trust nationwide polls.
  
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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #14 - Nov 15th, 2017 at 3:14pm
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glen65 wrote on Nov 15th, 2017 at 1:52pm:
Irrelevant, my post was a general statement concerning people's trust in polling.
Wouldn't be wise to place much trust in this poll.   

I guarantee you Republicans concerned about keeping that seat aren't ignoring it.
  

Rare moments of candid truth...  RWB wrote on Nov 15th, 2017 at 9:32am:
Trump's an idiot everyone knows that

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The Original Wally
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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #15 - Nov 15th, 2017 at 3:20pm
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EF wrote on Nov 14th, 2017 at 5:53pm:
I don't doubt it.  It's definitely on both sides of the political spectrum.

I have a very close friend who agrees with Republicans on pretty much everything except one thing.  She votes Democrat only because of one issue.  Abortion! 

I have seldom found any one candidate that I support on each and every issue.  I generally have to weigh the pros and cons  for each choice....and yes, I have voted for some Democrat candidates, who I felt were far superior to the GOP choice in local race. (corruption exists in both parties and must be ferreted out)
  

" The few will always act like the few.

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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #16 - Nov 15th, 2017 at 3:27pm
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Quote:
Republican Roy Moore is trailing Democrat Doug Jones by 12 points in the Alabama special Senate election, according to a poll conducted by the National Republican Senatorial Committee after five women accused Moore of pursuing them as teenagers.

Jones led Moore 51 to 39 percent, according to the survey taken Sunday and Monday. The NRSC withdrew its support for Moore after the Washington Post published the first allegations against Moore on Thursday, and the group’s chairman, Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) said Moore should be expelled from the Senate if he wins on Dec. 12.

The poll shows a dramatic turn against Moore in Alabama: In early October, a committee poll had him leading by 16 points, and a survey early this month had him up by 9 points. Moore’s favorability numbers also tanked, from 49 percent in early October to 35 percent in the NRSC’s latest poll...

Source

Yikes
  
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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #17 - Nov 15th, 2017 at 3:30pm
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Demos wrote on Nov 15th, 2017 at 3:27pm:
Source

Yikes


Naw... I don't buy it.  I think the good people of Alabama are going to put Moore in there...



My opinion....

Greg
  

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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #18 - Nov 15th, 2017 at 4:02pm
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A 12-point lead goes beyond the margin of statistical error.

It also means Trump and McConnell will pay a high price (in terms of political capital) to fix this by nullifying the special election and inserting Sessions (or Strange) into that seat.
  

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Re: Doug Jones leads Roy Moore by 4 points in Alabama: Poll
Reply #19 - Nov 15th, 2017 at 4:16pm
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Greg55_99 wrote on Nov 15th, 2017 at 3:30pm:
Naw... I don't buy it.  I think the good people of Alabama are going to put Moore in there...



My opinion....

Greg


I do, too. His name is on the ballot and apparently can't be removed, and he still has that magic R by his name, despite the R's treating him like a leper. 
  

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