Liberty News Forum
Political News Forum - Let your opinions be heard on current news and politics. Not for wimps!
Political Opinion Page - Recent Posts - LNF Forums LNF in the Age of Empowerment! Algorithm free!
Christian Forum - Religion Forum - Entertainment - Sports Forum
Military - A1 News Page - Computers Tech - Financial News - Bunker - Rasmussen Presidential Tracking Poll
The House - Off the Wall News - Page 2 - Rasmussen Reports Polls - Chat Room
Liberty News ForumLNF Forums HerePolitical Opinion Page - The Hot Seat › Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
Page Index Toggle Pages: 1 Send TopicPrint
Normal Topic Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him (Read 76 times)
Ulysses
LNF Speaker
LNF Bunker
*****
Offline

"Throw The Jew Down The
Well" - Borat

Posts: 18,933
Location: Redacted
Joined: Feb 19th, 2018
Gender: Male
Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
Aug 13th, 2019 at 1:17am
Print Post  
LOL, it keeps getting better...

Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him



Quote:
There has been a lot of discussion in political circles about Donald Trump’s job-approval ratings, what they portend, and Trump’s Electoral College strategy for 2020, which doesn’t necessarily require a popular-vote plurality. But in the end, of course, the conjunction of the Electoral College with Trump’s state-by-state popularity is where the deal will go down.

The online polling firm Civiqs has published a new set of state-by-state job-approval ratings for Trump as of August 11, and it shows how the president’s overall standing (a 43 percent approval rating nationally, which happens to match the current RealClearPolitics polling average) might translate into electorate votes. It’s not a pretty picture for the president, to put it mildly.

Civiqs shows the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. If that were to represent how the 2020 elections turn out, Trump would have a booming 119 electoral votes. And it’s not as though he’s on a knife’s edge between victory and defeat in all these Trump 2016 states where he’s doing poorly: He’s underwater by 12 points in Pennsylvania, 11 in Michigan, and nine in Arizona, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. And there’s virtually no indication that states that narrowly went for Clinton in 2016 are trending in Trump’s direction: His approval ratios are minus 18 in Colorado, minus 15 in Minnesota, minus 12 in Nevada, and minus 27 in New Hampshire. These are, by the way, polls of registered voters, not just “adults,” so they should be a relatively sound reflection of the views of the electorate.

In case you just don’t trust this particular pollster, the other publicly available survey of state-by-state presidential job approval is from Morning Consult, and its latest numbers (as of July) are pretty similar. They show Georgia and Texas as positive for Trump, and North Carolina as very close. But all the other “battleground states” are quite the reach for the incumbent.

If you credit these polls at all, Trump’s reelection will require (1) a big late improvement in his approval ratings, which is possible but unlikely based on long-standing patterns during his polarizing presidency; (2) a campaign that succeeds in making the election turn on theoretical fears about his opponent rather than actual fears about a second Trump term, which won’t be easy either; (3) a big Republican turnout advantage, which is less likely among the larger presidential electorate than it was in 2018; or (4) some diabolical ability to thread the needle despite every contrary indicator, which superstitious Democrats fear for obvious reasons.
  

Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
stu_gatze
LNF Speaker
*****
Offline

Conservatism today, tommorow..&
forever!

Posts: 18,121
Joined: May 20th, 2004
Gender: Male
Re: Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
Reply #1 - Aug 13th, 2019 at 6:43am
Print Post  
Ulysses wrote on Aug 13th, 2019 at 1:17am:


_________________________________________________________

Dream on, .. Leftist! -- Trump WILL defeat whomever your democrat liberal socialist party's nomination will be!  Cool

Just so that YOU know what's coming, .. so, you won't feel disappointed after Trump kicks the shit out of your demoncrap party candidate.   Smiley Smiley
  

 'Modern Progressive Liberalism' .. is a mental disorder!
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
JohnnyBLate
LNF Speaker
The Writer's Croft
*****
Offline

Boston Strong- Big Papi

Posts: 30,940
Location: New England
Joined: Aug 23rd, 2012
Gender: Male
Re: Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
Reply #2 - Aug 13th, 2019 at 6:47am
Print Post  
stu_gatze wrote on Aug 13th, 2019 at 6:43am:
_________________________________________________________

Dream on, .. Leftist! -- Trump WILL defeat whomever your democrat liberal socialist party's nomination will be!  Cool

Just so that YOU know what's coming, .. so, you won't feel disappointed after Trump kicks the shit out of your demoncrap party candidate.   Smiley Smiley


Well in their defense, their choices are horrible and biggest focus is race and Trump. I feel bad for them. Sad
  

Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Wally Wants A Wall
Hardhat
Conservative Caucus
*****
Offline

Cunning... is but the
low mimic of wisdom ~Plato

Posts: 28,770
Location: Upstate New York
Joined: Feb 24th, 2008
Gender: Male
Re: Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
Reply #3 - Aug 13th, 2019 at 7:04am
Print Post  
They said Donald Trump didn't stand a chance against Hillary Clinton, either!

  

" The few will always act like the few.�

�Machiavelli

“When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser.”

― Socrates

img]https://i.imgur.com/prBnexU.jpg[/img]
Back to top
WWWAIM  
IP Logged
 
Abe
LNF Majority Leader
LNF Bunker
***
Offline

I Love Liberty News Forum!

Posts: 7,007
Location: Troll Heads
Joined: Oct 7th, 2016
Re: Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
Reply #4 - Aug 13th, 2019 at 7:10am
Print Post  
stu_gatze wrote on Aug 13th, 2019 at 6:43am:
_________________________________________________________

Dream on, .. Leftist! -- Trump WILL defeat whomever your democrat liberal socialist party's nomination will be!  Cool

Just so that YOU know what's coming, .. so, you won't feel disappointed after Trump kicks the shit out of your demoncrap party candidate.   Smiley Smiley



This is the same group that conducted the above poll. . They say they solicited Republicans for replies but were they the RINO branch of the party.

Then of course we have them aligned with the Daily Kos so I'd take any polls done by them with a grain of salt.

Polls can be made to produce any result one is seeking.
« Last Edit: Aug 13th, 2019 at 7:17am by Abe »  

Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Wally Wants A Wall
Hardhat
Conservative Caucus
*****
Offline

Cunning... is but the
low mimic of wisdom ~Plato

Posts: 28,770
Location: Upstate New York
Joined: Feb 24th, 2008
Gender: Male
Re: Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
Reply #5 - Aug 13th, 2019 at 7:18am
Print Post  
Abe wrote on Aug 13th, 2019 at 7:10am:
This is the same group that conducted the above poll. Look at the wording of the questions. They say they solicited Republicans for replies but were they the RINO branch of the party.

Then of course we have them aligned with the Daily Kos so I'd take any polls done by them with a grain of salt.
It's good for the Libtards (in both parties) to keep preaching to their choir.   Just imagine how pissed off and frustrated they will be when they play what the HOPE and BELIEVE is their winning hand which will CHANGE everything for them and then the President plays his TRUMP cards!  Cheesy

Who will they blame this time?  China?  Grin
  

" The few will always act like the few.�

�Machiavelli

“When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser.”

― Socrates

img]https://i.imgur.com/prBnexU.jpg[/img]
Back to top
WWWAIM  
IP Logged
 
Greg55_99
LNF Bunker
**
Offline

I love YaBB 1G - SP1!

Posts: 36,854
Joined: Jun 9th, 2006
Re: Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
Reply #6 - Aug 13th, 2019 at 7:56am
Print Post  
Well lookit that now...  Texas is turning blue...  How'd that happen?

Greg Grin
  

"You want the TRUTH? You can't handle THE TRUTH!!"
Back to top
 
IP Logged
 
Wally Wants A Wall
Hardhat
Conservative Caucus
*****
Offline

Cunning... is but the
low mimic of wisdom ~Plato

Posts: 28,770
Location: Upstate New York
Joined: Feb 24th, 2008
Gender: Male
Re: Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him
Reply #7 - Aug 13th, 2019 at 7:59am
Print Post  
Greg55_99 wrote on Aug 13th, 2019 at 7:56am:
Well lookit that now...  Texas is turning blue...  How'd that happen?

Greg Grin

illegal aliens break the law when they sneak across the border, so it's nothing for them to break the law and vote for the party which supports AMnesty and Open Borders!
  

" The few will always act like the few.�

�Machiavelli

“When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser.”

― Socrates

img]https://i.imgur.com/prBnexU.jpg[/img]
Back to top
WWWAIM  
IP Logged
 
Page Index Toggle Pages: 1
Send TopicPrint
 
Liberty News ForumLNF Forums HerePolitical Opinion Page - The Hot Seat › Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him

LNF Home - Political Opinion Page
LNF Forums

Christian Forum - Religion Forum - Sports Forum - Entertainment - House
Military, History - Cooking and Crafts - Creative Writing
Off the Wall News - Science Forum - Tech Gadgets - Financial News - Humor
Bunker - Page 2 - Page 3 - Page 4 - Chat Room





Drudge Report - News Max - Rush Limbaugh - FrontpageMag
Advertise on the LNF - Twitter LNF - LNF Archive - LNF News
LNF Blog
News and Political Links
Political Blogs
Add your website or blog
Political Columnists
Political Humor
A1 News Page
David Limbaugh
Political Frog
Conservatives Directory
President Trump Approval Poll
Presidential Party Election Poll
News forum posting, privacy policy and member rules